Comments on: The polls are looking good! http://www.pickledpolitics.com/archives/2395 Current affairs for a progressive generation Sat, 04 Feb 2012 17:02:53 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3 By: Leon http://www.pickledpolitics.com/archives/2395#comment-132005 Leon Wed, 15 Oct 2008 22:01:00 +0000 http://www.pickledpolitics.com/?p=2395#comment-132005 I would urge caution using this old chestnut: don't count your chickens before they've hatched. We've been here before. In 2004 signs were pointing toward a Kerry win. There's still twenty days to go before voting. If you think a week is a long time in politics well it's an eternity when it's an election period. Obama is ahead strikingly in the almost meaningless national polls but he is ahead in key battleground states (and a few states Bush won last time too). I have cautious optimist but let's not start calling it for Obama just yet... I would urge caution using this old chestnut: don’t count your chickens before they’ve hatched.

We’ve been here before. In 2004 signs were pointing toward a Kerry win. There’s still twenty days to go before voting. If you think a week is a long time in politics well it’s an eternity when it’s an election period.

Obama is ahead strikingly in the almost meaningless national polls but he is ahead in key battleground states (and a few states Bush won last time too).

I have cautious optimist but let’s not start calling it for Obama just yet…

]]> By: douglas clark http://www.pickledpolitics.com/archives/2395#comment-132002 douglas clark Wed, 15 Oct 2008 21:55:02 +0000 http://www.pickledpolitics.com/?p=2395#comment-132002 El Cid, I am too tired to look it up, but the Bradley effect appears to be a myth. I'll get back to you. El Cid,

I am too tired to look it up, but the Bradley effect appears to be a myth.

I’ll get back to you.

]]> By: El Cid http://www.pickledpolitics.com/archives/2395#comment-132000 El Cid Wed, 15 Oct 2008 21:42:38 +0000 http://www.pickledpolitics.com/?p=2395#comment-132000 I'd forgotten about this, but it's worth bearing in mind: http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/ben_macintyre/article4950484.ece I’d forgotten about this, but it’s worth bearing in mind:

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/ben_macintyre/article4950484.ece

]]> By: Don http://www.pickledpolitics.com/archives/2395#comment-131978 Don Wed, 15 Oct 2008 18:50:56 +0000 http://www.pickledpolitics.com/?p=2395#comment-131978 CH, I think you'll find Rumbold is cautiously pro-Obama. As for Palin's obvious qualities, well she's a mom, she shoots stuff, she has no truck with elitist book-learning and she's really big on god. You and I may not see these as admirable qualities, but they are qualities of a sort, and very bankable in the US political system. CH,

I think you’ll find Rumbold is cautiously pro-Obama. As for Palin’s obvious qualities, well she’s a mom, she shoots stuff, she has no truck with elitist book-learning and she’s really big on god. You and I may not see these as admirable qualities, but they are qualities of a sort, and very bankable in the US political system.

]]> By: The Common Humanist http://www.pickledpolitics.com/archives/2395#comment-131970 The Common Humanist Wed, 15 Oct 2008 17:50:22 +0000 http://www.pickledpolitics.com/?p=2395#comment-131970 If, hopefully, Obama wins, will Rumbold cry and shout 'stolen election!' Or will he behave with grace? I really really like Obama. He has the potential to be a very great President indeed. Hang on, did someone say 'Pallins obvious qualities...' But nice boobs and an ability to wink have little or no bearing on being able to carry out the Presidency should McShame die in office? She is a tool. End of. If, hopefully, Obama wins, will Rumbold cry and shout ‘stolen election!’

Or will he behave with grace?

I really really like Obama. He has the potential to be a very great President indeed.

Hang on, did someone say ‘Pallins obvious qualities…’
But nice boobs and an ability to wink have little or no bearing on being able to carry out the Presidency should McShame die in office?

She is a tool. End of.

]]> By: zahed http://www.pickledpolitics.com/archives/2395#comment-131953 zahed Wed, 15 Oct 2008 14:10:15 +0000 http://www.pickledpolitics.com/?p=2395#comment-131953 Wot? No swing states? I'm sure the weather will make up for the ease of campaigning in Cali, where it was never going to be a contest! Have fun anyway and say hi to my birthplace on Sunset Blvd! Wot? No swing states? I’m sure the weather will make up for the ease of campaigning in Cali, where it was never going to be a contest!

Have fun anyway and say hi to my birthplace on Sunset Blvd!

]]> By: Trofim http://www.pickledpolitics.com/archives/2395#comment-131729 Trofim Mon, 13 Oct 2008 21:17:15 +0000 http://www.pickledpolitics.com/?p=2395#comment-131729 Off to Los Angeles eh, just after Kathmandu. Aren't you one of those people who advocates a low carbon footprint? Off to Los Angeles eh, just after Kathmandu. Aren’t you one of those people who advocates a low carbon footprint?

]]> By: digitalcntrl http://www.pickledpolitics.com/archives/2395#comment-131708 digitalcntrl Mon, 13 Oct 2008 17:48:06 +0000 http://www.pickledpolitics.com/?p=2395#comment-131708 The interesting thing about this election is how racially abrasive some have become. In past elections when it was two WASPS (white anglo saxon protestants) fighting it out many racist rightwing fruitcakes had the self control to not say racist things too explicitly. Now with the relatively sure prospect that a non white guy is going to be elected president they are scared shitless and letting their facades fall. http://www.cbsnews.com/blogs/2008/10/13/politics/horserace/entry4517440.shtml The interesting thing about this election is how racially abrasive some have become. In past elections when it was two WASPS (white anglo saxon protestants) fighting it out many racist rightwing fruitcakes had the self control to not say racist things too explicitly. Now with the relatively sure prospect that a non white guy is going to be elected president they are scared shitless and letting their facades fall.

http://www.cbsnews.com/blogs/2008/10/13/politics/horserace/entry4517440.shtml

]]> By: MaidMarian http://www.pickledpolitics.com/archives/2395#comment-131702 MaidMarian Mon, 13 Oct 2008 17:15:53 +0000 http://www.pickledpolitics.com/?p=2395#comment-131702 All true, but the flip side of this is that I can not believe how rapidly McCain's candidacy went down hill. The debate performances have been unpolished (unforgivable in this day and age), the attempts to 'shake things up' have looked like thinly veiled cop-outs, Palin's obvious qualities have been underplayed when she clearly could have been better used, the message has been nowhere and on top of all that he cracked first and went negative. The comments about the economy a couple of days after Lehman's went down the pan were astounding and I can't believe that they were any sort of professional politics strategy. McCain has made much of being a maverick, not a standard Republican - he's actually turned out to be weaker than the average Republican. Obama will win, he's clearly got the momentum, but the truth is his opponent made it easier than it could and should have been. All true, but the flip side of this is that I can not believe how rapidly McCain’s candidacy went down hill.

The debate performances have been unpolished (unforgivable in this day and age), the attempts to ‘shake things up’ have looked like thinly veiled cop-outs, Palin’s obvious qualities have been underplayed when she clearly could have been better used, the message has been nowhere and on top of all that he cracked first and went negative.

The comments about the economy a couple of days after Lehman’s went down the pan were astounding and I can’t believe that they were any sort of professional politics strategy.

McCain has made much of being a maverick, not a standard Republican – he’s actually turned out to be weaker than the average Republican.

Obama will win, he’s clearly got the momentum, but the truth is his opponent made it easier than it could and should have been.

]]> By: DR1001 http://www.pickledpolitics.com/archives/2395#comment-131687 DR1001 Mon, 13 Oct 2008 16:31:36 +0000 http://www.pickledpolitics.com/?p=2395#comment-131687 I can't wait for this 3rd and final debate in NY this wednesday. I wonder what tricks (if any) McCain will have up his sleeve for it. Even though the polls look good for Obama, im still waiting until 5th November before getting too excited... Hope you have a fun trip Sunny, even though it seems kinda work related. I can’t wait for this 3rd and final debate in NY this wednesday.
I wonder what tricks (if any) McCain will have up his sleeve for it.
Even though the polls look good for Obama, im still waiting until 5th November before getting too excited…

Hope you have a fun trip Sunny, even though it seems kinda work related.

]]> By: Sunny http://www.pickledpolitics.com/archives/2395#comment-131686 Sunny Mon, 13 Oct 2008 16:19:18 +0000 http://www.pickledpolitics.com/?p=2395#comment-131686 that too, especially if Brown uses the Parliament Act to force through 42 days. that too, especially if Brown uses the Parliament Act to force through 42 days.

]]> By: David T http://www.pickledpolitics.com/archives/2395#comment-131682 David T Mon, 13 Oct 2008 15:33:38 +0000 http://www.pickledpolitics.com/?p=2395#comment-131682 I thought for a moment you were talking about the "brown people" supporting Tories! I thought for a moment you were talking about the “brown people” supporting Tories!

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