Writing in the New York Times magazine, Parag Khanna has an interesting view on the future of global politics.
At best, Americaâ€™s unipolar moment lasted through the 1990s, but that was also a decade adrift. The post-cold-war â€œpeace dividendâ€ was never converted into a global liberal order under American leadership. So now, rather than bestriding the globe, we are competing â€” and losing â€” in a geopolitical marketplace alongside the worldâ€™s other superpowers: the European Union and China. This is geopolitics in the 21st century: the new Big Three. Not Russia, an increasingly depopulated expanse run by Gazprom.gov; not an incoherent Islam embroiled in internal wars; and not India, lagging decades behind China in both development and strategic appetite. The Big Three make the rules â€” their own rules â€” without any one of them dominating. And the others are left to choose their suitors in this post-American world.
The more we appreciate the differences among the American, European and Chinese worldviews, the more we will see the planetary stakes of the new global game. Previous eras of balance of power have been among European powers sharing a common culture. The cold war, too, was not truly an â€œEast-Westâ€ struggle; it remained essentially a contest over Europe. What we have today, for the first time in history, is a global, multicivilizational, multipolar battle.
The whole article is quite long but I plan to read it soon. I love this kind of crystal ball-gazing. Saying that, it’s hardly a controversial view is it?
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Filed in: Current affairs,The World